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Will the United States and Iran sign a formal ceasefire or peace agreement by November 30, 2026?

Consider diplomatic formalization between 10/17 and 11/30 amid rounds of peace proposals for the conflict. 81 opinions, 60% No

  • Yes — 40%
  • No — 60%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions

Resolution rules

Consider diplomatic formalization between 10/17 and 11/30 amid rounds of peace proposals for the conflict.

Source: apnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 17/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se representantes governamentais oficiais dos EUA e do Irã assinarem formalmente um tratado ou memorando de cessar-fogo/paz até 30/11/2026, com confirmação oficial do Departamento de Estado dos EUA, chancelaria iraniana ou agências Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.

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