World · Open for opinions
Will the US formalize the granting of licenses for the manufacture of Patriot missiles in Ukraine by 10/31/2026?
Following the announcement of progress in negotiations between Kyiv and Washington, the market is monitoring the official… 70 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 70 opinions
Resolution rules
Following the announcement of progress in negotiations between Kyiv and Washington, the market is monitoring the official formalization of the defense industrial license.
Source: www.understandingwar.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 26/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Departamento de Estado ou o Pentágono (DoD) anunciar formalmente a aprovação da transferência de licenças industriais de coprodução dos mísseis Patriot (PAC-2 ou PAC-3) para o governo da Ucrânia até 31/10/2026, com base em comunicado oficial do governo dos EUA ou do Ministério da Defesa ucraniano. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.