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Will the European Central Bank (ECB) raise its interest rate again before the end of 2026?

The Federal Reserve reported that the ECB has already raised its interest rate in October 2026 due to inflationary pressures… 79 opinions, 52% Yes

  • Yes — 52%
  • No — 48%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

The Federal Reserve reported that the ECB has already raised its interest rate in October 2026 due to inflationary pressures originating from the Middle East conflict, with officials still focused on inflation risks.

Source: www.federalreserve.gov

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no comunicado oficial do Conselho do BCE publicado em ecb.europa.eu. Resolve 'Sim' se a taxa de depósito do BCE for elevada em ao menos 0,25 ponto percentual em qualquer reunião de política monetária realizada até 31 de dezembro de 2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.

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Will the European Central Bank (ECB) raise its interest rate again… — 52% Yes · VoxFi