World · Open for opinions
Will there be a ceasefire or formal peace agreement in the US-Iran conflict before May 1, 2027?
The conflict with Iran was cited as the main risk factor for US inflation and interest rates. 89 opinions, 85% No
- Yes — 15%
- No — 85%
Deadline: April 30, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
The conflict with Iran was cited as the main risk factor for US inflation and interest rates. JD Vance blamed the war for the midterm election outcome, and Trump acknowledged that the conflict impacted prices.
Source: www.ft.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se um cessar-fogo ou acordo de paz formal entre os Estados Unidos e o Irã for publicamente anunciado e confirmado por fontes governamentais oficiais de ambos os lados (Casa Branca e governo iraniano) até 30 de abril de 2027. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 85% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 15 points, a wrong one costs about 85.