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Will the average US 30-year mortgage rate exceed 8% per year by the end of October 2026?

On October 5, 2026, US mortgage rates reached their highest level since 2023, worsening the scenario of high inflation and household… 76 opinions, 70% No

  • Yes — 30%
  • No — 70%

Deadline: October 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 76 opinions

Resolution rules

On October 5, 2026, US mortgage rates reached their highest level since 2023, worsening the scenario of high inflation and household debt.

Source: www.denvergazette.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base na taxa média semanal de hipoteca de 30 anos divulgada pela Freddie Mac (Primary Mortgage Market Survey) referente à última semana de outubro de 2026. Se qualquer leitura semanal publicada até 30/10/2026 registrar valor acima de 8,00%, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.

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Will the average US 30-year mortgage rate exceed 8% per year by the… — 70% No · VoxFi