World · Open for opinions
Will U.S. GDP grow by more than 2% (annualized rate) in the third quarter of 2026 according to the BEA?
U.S. 82 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: December 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions
Resolution rules
U.S. GDP has been growing at just over 2% annually under the Trump administration, according to data released in October 2026. Consumer confidence, however, is at a lower level than recorded during the 2008 crisis or the 2020 pandemic, creating uncertainty about the trajectory of economic activity.
Source: www.wsls.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com 'Sim' se o Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) divulgar crescimento do PIB dos EUA no 3º trimestre de 2026 superior a 2% em taxa anualizada (qualquer estimativa — prévia, segunda ou terceira). Resolve 'Não' caso o dado fique igual ou abaixo de 2%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.