World · Open for opinions
Will the United States or Israel launch new military strikes against Iran by the end of 2026?
Since the last US strikes on Iran on September 8, Trump has publicly ruled out new strikes before the November midterms. 87 opinions, 57% No
- Yes — 43%
- No — 57%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
Since the last US strikes on Iran on September 8, Trump has publicly ruled out new strikes before the November midterms. However, US and Israel military planners have reportedly drawn up new strike options, including the use of the GBU-43/B (the 'Mother of All Bombs')
Source: time.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base em declaração oficial do governo americano ou israelense confirmando ataques, ou por ampla cobertura de veículos internacionais de referência (Reuters, AP, AFP). Se não houver ataques confirmados até 31/12/2026, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.