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What will be the Federal Reserve's next interest rate move by the end of 2026?

Most Fed officials indicated the need for higher rates in the face of higher-than-expected inflation, but key leaders… 87 opinions, 47% Keep unchanged

  • Raise the rate — 38%
  • Keep unchanged — 47%
  • Lower the rate — 15%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

Most Fed officials indicated the need for higher rates in the face of higher-than-expected inflation, but key leaders signaled a willingness to wait for more data before the next move.

Source: www.thedailystar.net

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base no comunicado oficial do FOMC divulgado em sua próxima reunião após outubro de 2026, antes de 31 de dezembro de 2026. Se não houver reunião até lá, resolve 'Manter inalterada'. Fonte: federalreserve.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Keep unchanged has 47% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 53 points, a wrong one costs about 47.

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