World · Open for opinions
Will the Bundestag hold a confidence vote on the Merz government by 10/31/2026?
Friedrich Merz's coalition faces political instability and pressure from parties following defeats in state elections in Germany. 57 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 57 opinions
Resolution rules
Friedrich Merz's coalition faces political instability and pressure from parties following defeats in state elections in Germany.
Source: www.bbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 23/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o parlamento alemão (Bundestag) realizar uma votação formal de moção de confiança ou desconfiança sobre o chanceler Friedrich Merz até 31/10/2026, conforme ata e pauta oficial do Bundestag (bundestag.de). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.