World · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. economy achieve a 'soft landing' — without a recession — by the end of 2026?
Analysts assess that the U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Analysts assess that the U.S. economy may achieve a 'soft landing,' with inflation returning to target without a recession, despite recent shocks and political pressure on the Fed.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research) não declarar recessão iniciada em 2026, e o PIB americano não registrar dois trimestres consecutivos de crescimento negativo em 2026 segundo o BEA (bea.gov). Caso o NBER declare recessão com início em 2026, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.