World · Open for opinions
Will the United States and Iran announce a formal de-escalation agreement by October 31, 2026?
Consider official announcements of bilateral or mediated agreements between Washington and Tehran between 09/28 and 10/31. 71 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider official announcements of bilateral or mediated agreements between Washington and Tehran between 09/28 and 10/31.
Source: www.aljazeera.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 28/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se autoridades dos EUA e do Irã formalizarem e anunciarem publicamente um acordo de cessar-fogo ou trégua nas tensões militares até 31/10/2026, conforme comunicado do Departamento de Estado dos EUA, chancelaria iraniana, Reuters ou AP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.