Science · Open for opinions
Will mainland Portugal record a 10th heatwave in 2026 by November 30, 2026?
Consider new heatwave episodes in Portugal between 10/19 and 11/30 after the country recorded a historical record of 9 waves in 2026. 85 opinions, 69% No
- Yes — 31%
- No — 69%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 85 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider new heatwave episodes in Portugal between 10/19 and 11/30 after the country recorded a historical record of 9 waves in 2026.
Source: www.ipma.pt
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 19/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Instituto Português do Mar e da Atmosfera (IPMA) confirmar oficialmente a ocorrência de uma décima onda de calor em território de Portugal continental em 2026 até 30/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.