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Will the Federal Reserve keep the interest rate unchanged at the October 2026 meeting?

August PCE inflation data came in slightly below expectations (3.4%), leading the market to price in a Fed pause in October,… 73 opinions, 82% Yes

  • Yes — 82%
  • No — 18%

Deadline: October 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 73 opinions

Resolution rules

August PCE inflation data came in slightly below expectations (3.4%), leading the market to price in a Fed pause in October, according to a Reuters report dated 09/30/2026.

Source: www.reuters.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o comunicado oficial do FOMC divulgado após a reunião de outubro de 2026 (prevista para 28-29 de outubro) confirmar que a taxa dos fed funds permaneceu no mesmo nível. Fonte: site oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 82% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 18 points, a wrong one costs about 82.

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Will the Federal Reserve keep the interest rate unchanged at the… — 82% Yes · VoxFi