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What will be the Fed's decision on US interest rates at the next FOMC meeting?

In September 2026, the Fed raised interest rates by a quarter percentage point for the first time in over three years, with a… 41 opinions, 51% Rate hike

  • Rate hike — 51%
  • Rates unchanged — 34%
  • Rate cut — 15%

Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 41 opinions

Resolution rules

In September 2026, the Fed raised interest rates by a quarter percentage point for the first time in over three years, with a unanimous 12-member vote, including Trump appointees, to curb inflation reignited by the conflict with Iran and heavy tariffs.

Source: time.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve conforme o comunicado oficial do Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) publicado no site do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov) ao término da reunião de novembro de 2026. A opção vencedora é aquela que descreve a decisão anunciada.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Rate hike has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.

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What will be the Fed's decision on US interest rates at the next… — 51% Rate hike · VoxFi