World · Open for opinions
Will US consumer inflation (annual CPI) fall below 3% by October 2026?
Recent data show that the inflationary effects of tariffs are stabilizing after a peak of effective tariffs of 11% in late 2025. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Recent data show that the inflationary effects of tariffs are stabilizing after a peak of effective tariffs of 11% in late 2025. Even so, inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target, according to the July 2026 CPI report.
Source: www.stlouisfed.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o índice CPI (Consumer Price Index, variação anual, todos os itens) divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) para setembro ou outubro de 2026 registrar valor inferior a 3,0%. Fonte: bls.gov. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.