World · Open for opinions
Will the US government issue a formal license for the oil deal with Venezuela by 10/31/2026?
Considers official US regulatory actions on the oil deal announced between 09/02 and 10/31/2026. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers official US regulatory actions on the oil deal announced between 09/02 and 10/31/2026.
Source: www.aljazeera.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 02/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Departamento do Tesouro dos EUA (OFAC) ou a Casa Branca publicar licença formal ou diretriz regulatória autorizando a participação norte-americana na exploração petrolífera na Venezuela até 31/10/2026, conforme registro oficial do Federal Register ou comunicados da OFAC/Reuters/AP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.