World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?
Traders are betting on a high probability of a second consecutive interest rate hike by the Fed in October, following… 64 opinions, 72% Yes
- Yes — 72%
- No — 28%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 64 opinions
Resolution rules
Traders are betting on a high probability of a second consecutive interest rate hike by the Fed in October, following stronger-than-expected economic activity data and persistent inflationary pressures linked to the conflict with Iran.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o FOMC anunciar aumento na taxa dos fed funds na reunião de outubro/novembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial publicado pelo Federal Reserve em federalreserve.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.