World · Open for opinions
Will the US government budget deficit in fiscal year 2026 exceed the level recorded in 2025?
The US budget deficit surged in July 2026 to its highest level since March 2021, according to CNBC, and fixed income analysts point… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The US budget deficit surged in July 2026 to its highest level since March 2021, according to CNBC, and fixed income analysts point out that the 2026 deficit is on track to eclipse that of 2025, putting pressure on Treasury yields.
Source: www.cnbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o déficit orçamentário federal dos EUA no ano fiscal de 2026 (encerrado em 30/09/2026), conforme divulgado pelo Congressional Budget Office (CBO) ou pelo Departamento do Tesouro dos EUA, superar o déficit total do ano fiscal de 2025. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.