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Will the Federal Reserve raise its benchmark interest rate before the end of 2026?

With inflation projected to accelerate in September 2026, Fed members signaled they are evaluating the need for further interest… 79 opinions, 54% Yes

  • Yes — 54%
  • No — 46%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

With inflation projected to accelerate in September 2026, Fed members signaled they are evaluating the need for further interest rate hikes to curb inflationary pressure.

Source: www.wsls.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no comunicado oficial do FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) após a última reunião de 2026. Se a taxa dos federal funds for elevada em relação ao nível vigente em 14/10/2026, o mercado resolve 'Sim'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.

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