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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at least once by the end of 2026?

FOMC members openly discussed the possibility of raising interest rates if inflation does not cool. 21 opinions, 52% Yes

  • Yes — 52%
  • No — 48%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions

Resolution rules

FOMC members openly discussed the possibility of raising interest rates if inflation does not cool. The July 2026 minutes indicate growing concern about persistently high inflation and energy prices.

Source: www.pbs.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Fed elevar a meta para a taxa dos Fed Funds em pelo menos 0,25 ponto percentual em qualquer reunião do FOMC restante em 2026 (setembro, novembro ou dezembro). Fonte: comunicados oficiais em federalreserve.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.

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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at least once by the… — 52% Yes · VoxFi