World · Open for opinions
Will China grant a new market regulatory authorization to Mastercard or Visa by 11/30/2026?
US authorities pressure Beijing for market openness and access for payment giants; considers actions between 10/19 and 11/30. 81 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
US authorities pressure Beijing for market openness and access for payment giants; considers actions between 10/19 and 11/30.
Source: www.cnbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 19/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Banco Popular da China (PBOC) ou a Administração Nacional de Regulação Financeira conceder formalmente nova aprovação regulatória para Mastercard ou Visa operarem no mercado doméstico até 30/11/2026, conforme confirmado por comunicado oficial do PBOC, Reuters ou Bloomberg. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.