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Will the Federal Reserve raise its benchmark interest rate again before the end of 2026?

On September 16, 2026, the Fed raised its benchmark rate for the first time in over 3 years, to the 3.75%-4% range, amid inflation… 36 opinions, 61% No

  • Yes — 39%
  • No — 61%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 36 opinions

Resolution rules

On September 16, 2026, the Fed raised its benchmark rate for the first time in over 3 years, to the 3.75%-4% range, amid inflation generated by the conflict with Iran, defying pressure from President Trump.

Source: www.usnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o FOMC anunciar uma nova alta de juros (acima do intervalo de 3,75%-4% estabelecido em setembro de 2026) em qualquer reunião realizada até 31/12/2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.

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