World · Open for opinions
Will US consumer inflation (CPI) be above 3% year-over-year in every month of Q4 2026 (Oct, Nov, Dec)?
US inflation remains stubbornly above the Fed's target, aggravated by Trump's new tariffs and rising oil prices, raising concerns… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
US inflation remains stubbornly above the Fed's target, aggravated by Trump's new tariffs and rising oil prices, raising concerns about the cost of living.
Source: www.cigionline.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se as leituras do CPI anual dos EUA divulgadas pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (bls.gov) para outubro, novembro e dezembro de 2026 forem todas superiores a 3,0%. Resolve 'Não' se ao menos uma das leituras for igual ou inferior a 3,0%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.