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How many interest rate hikes will the Federal Reserve implement by the end of 2026?

Waller indicated that disinflation has stalled in the US, with stable employment and price pressure from energy and AI… 78 opinions, 45% One hike

  • None — 15%
  • One hike — 45%
  • Two or more hikes — 40%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

Waller indicated that disinflation has stalled in the US, with stable employment and price pressure from energy and AI technology, suggesting a hawkish Fed stance until the end of the year.

Source: www.aa.com.tr

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base no número total de elevações da taxa dos fed funds anunciadas pelo Fed nas reuniões do FOMC restantes de 2026 (novembro e dezembro), conforme comunicados oficiais em federalreserve.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now One hike has 45% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 55 points, a wrong one costs about 45.

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How many interest rate hikes will the Federal Reserve implement by… — 45% One hike · VoxFi