World · Open for opinions
Will the price of gold (XAU/USD) exceed $5,000 per ounce before December 31, 2026?
On 08/21/2026, gold futures were trading at $4,649.80/oz, according to the WSJ. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
On 08/21/2026, gold futures were trading at $4,649.80/oz, according to the WSJ. The recent rise reflects a search for protection against currency volatility and uncertainty about the Fed's monetary policy.
Source: www.wsj.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o preço spot do ouro (XAU/USD) registrar ao menos uma fechamento diário acima de US$ 5.000/oz em qualquer bolsa de referência global (ex.: COMEX/CME) até 31/12/2026. Fonte: dados de mercado oficiais da CME Group ou Bloomberg.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.