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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at least once by the end of 2026?

Multiple sources from August 2026 indicate that 'many' Fed officials believe it will be necessary to raise rates if inflation… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 17, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Multiple sources from August 2026 indicate that 'many' Fed officials believe it will be necessary to raise rates if inflation persists at elevated levels.

Source: www.pbs.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o Fed anunciar pelo menos um aumento da taxa dos Fed Funds em qualquer reunião do FOMC até 16 de dezembro de 2026. Fonte: federalreserve.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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