World · Open for opinions
Will the military conflict between the US and Iran still be ongoing on December 31, 2026?
The conflict between the US and Iran has already cost $38 billion and caused ammunition shortages according to the FT. 35 opinions, 71% Yes
- Yes — 71%
- No — 29%
Deadline: January 5, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 35 opinions
Resolution rules
The conflict between the US and Iran has already cost $38 billion and caused ammunition shortages according to the FT. The confrontation is pushing up US inflation and dominating the economic and political debate. There is no indication of a near end.
Source: www.ft.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se fontes oficiais do governo americano (defense.gov ou whitehouse.gov) ou relatórios do Congresso confirmarem operações militares ativas dos EUA contra o Irã até 31 de dezembro de 2026. Resolve como 'Não' se cessar-fogo formal ou retirada de tropas for anunciada antes dessa data.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.