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Will the Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged at its next monetary policy decision?

According to a report dated 10/26/2026, persistent inflationary risks linked to the conflict in the Middle East and rising energy… 87 opinions, 78% Yes

  • Yes — 78%
  • No — 22%

Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

According to a report dated 10/26/2026, persistent inflationary risks linked to the conflict in the Middle East and rising energy costs are expected to lead the Fed, under Chair Kevin Warsh, to keep interest rates high for longer.

Source: aa.com.tr

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve não alterar a meta da taxa dos fundos federais na reunião de política monetária imediatamente seguinte a 26/10/2026, conforme comunicado oficial publicado em federalreserve.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.

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