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Will the euro appreciate above 1.15 dollars (EUR/USD > 1.15) by December 2026?

Despite pressure on the US dollar caused by US policy mistakes, the euro has failed to benefit from this weakness, according to… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Despite pressure on the US dollar caused by US policy mistakes, the euro has failed to benefit from this weakness, according to Bergos analysis. The dollar maintains its dominant role even under pressure.

Source: www.bergos.ch

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada na taxa de câmbio EUR/USD de fechamento diário publicada pelo Banco Central Europeu (ecb.europa.eu) ou Reuters. Se a taxa EUR/USD registrar fechamento acima de 1,1500 em qualquer dia útil até 31/12/2026, resolve 'Sim'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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