World · Open for opinions
Will the US and China hold an in-person round of high-level trade talks by 10/31/2026?
Considers bilateral meetings between 09/04 and 10/31 ahead of Beijing's preparation for direct trade talks with Washington [5]. 15 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 15 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers bilateral meetings between 09/04 and 10/31 ahead of Beijing's preparation for direct trade talks with Washington [5].
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 04/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se representantes de nível ministerial de EUA e China realizarem reunião presencial bilateral de negociação comercial até 31/10/2026, conforme divulgado pelo USTR, MOFCOM da China ou pelas agências Reuters, AP e AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.