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Will the US national average gas price surpass $5.00 per gallon before October 31, 2026?

On September 21, 2026, the US national average gas price reached $4.47 per gallon, in an upward trend driven by the Iran War and… 45 opinions, 69% No

  • Yes — 31%
  • No — 69%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 45 opinions

Resolution rules

On September 21, 2026, the US national average gas price reached $4.47 per gallon, in an upward trend driven by the Iran War and persistent inflation.

Source: www.nytimes.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base na média nacional semanal do preço da gasolina divulgada pela EIA (Energy Information Administration, eia.gov). Mercado resolve 'Sim' se qualquer leitura semanal publicada até 31/10/2026 mostrar média igual ou superior a US$ 5,00/galão.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.

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