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Will the average US gas price fall below $4 per gallon by the end of October 2026?

With the conflict in Iran ongoing, US gas prices remain above $4 per gallon, weighing on consumer confidence and the Republican… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

With the conflict in Iran ongoing, US gas prices remain above $4 per gallon, weighing on consumer confidence and the Republican agenda ahead of the midterm elections.

Source: www.pbs.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a média nacional do preço da gasolina regular divulgada pela AAA (gasprices.aaa.com) for inferior a US$4,00 por galão em qualquer data entre 27/08/2026 e 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the average US gas price fall below $4 per gallon by the end of… — 50% Yes · VoxFi