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Will the Federal Reserve raise the US benchmark interest rate at least once in any meeting through December 2026?

A Reuters analyst (Sep 29, 2026) states that persistent inflation and growing debt may force the Fed to raise interest rates again,… 71 opinions, 55% No

  • Yes — 45%
  • No — 55%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions

Resolution rules

A Reuters analyst (Sep 29, 2026) states that persistent inflation and growing debt may force the Fed to raise interest rates again, with pressures coming from energy prices and tariffs.

Source: www.reuters.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base nas atas e comunicados oficiais do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Considera-se 'Sim' se o FOMC anunciar elevação da taxa dos Fed Funds em qualquer reunião de outubro, novembro ou dezembro de 2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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