World · Open for opinions
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 exceed 2.0%?
Q2 2026 GDP was revised to 2.2% from an initial estimate of 1.5%, driven by consumption and government spending, according to… 73 opinions, 58% Yes
- Yes — 58%
- No — 42%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 73 opinions
Resolution rules
Q2 2026 GDP was revised to 2.2% from an initial estimate of 1.5%, driven by consumption and government spending, according to Politico. This raises expectations for Q3.
Source: www.politico.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base na estimativa preliminar (advance estimate) do Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) para o PIB do 3º trimestre de 2026, prevista para divulgação em outubro de 2026. Resolve 'Sim' se a variação anualizada trimestral for superior a 2,0%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.