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Will an official ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon take effect between 08/09 and 31/10/2026?

Consider the implementation of an agreement between 08/09 and 31/10. 19 opinions, 63% No

  • Yes — 37%
  • No — 63%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 19 opinions

Resolution rules

Consider the implementation of an agreement between 08/09 and 31/10. The President of Lebanon accused Israel of intensifying bombings to undermine the US-backed ceasefire framework.

Source: www.aljazeera.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 08/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se um acordo formal de cessar-fogo entre Israel e o Líbano (ou Hezbollah) for oficialmente assinado e entrar em vigor, conforme confirmado por órgãos oficiais, ONU, Reuters, AP ou Al Jazeera. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 63% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 37 points, a wrong one costs about 63.

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