World · Open for opinions
How many interest rate hikes will the Federal Reserve have implemented throughout the entire year of 2026?
The Fed has already made at least one hike in September 2026. 47 opinions, 51% 2
- 1 (September only) — 9%
- 2 — 51%
- 3 or more — 40%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 47 opinions
Resolution rules
The Fed has already made at least one hike in September 2026. Barkin signaled that more hikes may be necessary; markets expect at least one more hike by the end of the year.
Source: www.levyinstitute.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base no histórico oficial de decisões do FOMC publicado em federalreserve.gov, contabilizando todas as elevações da taxa dos fed funds ocorridas entre 1º de janeiro e 31 de dezembro de 2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now 2 has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.