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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates before the end of 2026?

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh reaffirmed that price stability is a priority but avoided signaling the direction of rates. 82 opinions, 73% No

  • Yes — 27%
  • No — 73%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions

Resolution rules

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh reaffirmed that price stability is a priority but avoided signaling the direction of rates. Persistent inflation at 3.7% and the AI investment boom as an inflationary factor make any near-term rate cut uncertain.

Source: www.pbs.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base nas decisões oficiais do FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) publicadas no site do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Se o Fed anunciar redução da taxa dos fed funds até 31 de dezembro de 2026, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 73% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 27 points, a wrong one costs about 73.

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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates before the end of 2026? — 73% No · VoxFi