World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise the US benchmark interest rate at the October 2026 meeting?
Financial markets were pricing in about a 70% probability of a Fed rate hike in October 2026, amid inflationary pressures and US… 69 opinions, 70% Yes
- Yes — 70%
- No — 30%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 69 opinions
Resolution rules
Financial markets were pricing in about a 70% probability of a Fed rate hike in October 2026, amid inflationary pressures and US labor market data.
Source: www.nytimes.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) anunciar aumento da taxa dos fed funds em sua reunião de outubro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve publicado no site federalreserve.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.