World · Open for opinions
Will the AfD party succeed in forming the state government in Saxony-Anhalt between 08/09 and 31/10/2026?
Consider developments between 08/09 and 31/10. 19 opinions, 68% No
- Yes — 32%
- No — 68%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 19 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider developments between 08/09 and 31/10. The far-right AfD party won the state elections, but without an absolute majority, and is seeking partners to form a government amid a boycott by the other parties.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 08/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a AfD confirmar oficialmente sua entrada no governo estadual da Saxônia-Anhalt (elegendo um Ministro-Presidente do partido ou assinando acordo oficial de coalizão governista), conforme Reuters, DW ou AP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.