World · Open for opinions
Will the Ethiopian government and the TPLF announce a new formal ceasefire by 11/30/2026?
Considers negotiations and announcements between 10/03 and 11/30 following the resumption of fighting in Mekelle and risks of… 76 opinions, 64% No
- Yes — 36%
- No — 64%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers negotiations and announcements between 10/03 and 11/30 following the resumption of fighting in Mekelle and risks of regional escalation.
Source: www.aljazeera.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 03/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o governo federal da Etiópia e representantes da TPLF assinarem e anunciarem publicamente um novo acordo de cessar-fogo até 30/11/2026, conforme divulgado por canais oficiais do governo etíope, da União Africana ou pelas agências Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.