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Will Russia and Ukraine officially announce a ceasefire between 05/09 and 31/10/2026?

Attacks persist in Ukraine, but diplomatic contacts between the Russian government and US envoys rekindle speculation about… 15 opinions, 73% No

  • Yes — 27%
  • No — 73%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 15 opinions

Resolution rules

Attacks persist in Ukraine, but diplomatic contacts between the Russian government and US envoys rekindle speculation about negotiations.

Source: www.reuters.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 05/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se Rússia e Ucrânia anunciarem oficialmente um acordo formal de cessar-fogo abrangendo o conflito. A medida deve ser confirmada por comunicados oficiais de ambas as nações e noticiada por agências como Reuters, AP ou AFP. Pausas humanitárias locais não contam. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 73% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 27 points, a wrong one costs about 73.

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