World · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to hear a case on polling regulation by 10/31/2026?
Considers decisions between 09/05 and 10/31 after state and CFTC judicial challenges. 15 opinions, 73% No
- Yes — 27%
- No — 73%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 15 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers decisions between 09/05 and 10/31 after state and CFTC judicial challenges.
Source: tradersunion.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 05/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Suprema Corte dos Estados Unidos deferir ordem de 'certiorari' aceitando julgar recurso sobre a legalidade ou regulação de mercados preditivos como Kalshi ou Polymarket até 31/10/2026, conforme atas de ordens oficiais no site supremecourt.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 73% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 27 points, a wrong one costs about 73.