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World · Open for opinions

Will the national average price of regular gasoline in the US fall below $4.00 per gallon by October 31, 2026?

The average price of gasoline in the US remains above $4.00 per gallon in August 2026, sustained by the ongoing conflict with Iran,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The average price of gasoline in the US remains above $4.00 per gallon in August 2026, sustained by the ongoing conflict with Iran, which has driven American consumer confidence to its lowest level in 7 months.

Source: abcnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolver com base no preço médio nacional da gasolina regular publicado pelo AAA (GasPrices.AAA.com) no dia 31 de outubro de 2026. Se o valor divulgado for inferior a US$ 4,00/galão nessa data, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the national average price of regular gasoline in the US fall… — 50% Yes · VoxFi