World · Open for opinions
Will Iran announce the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz for commercial vessels by 10/31/2026?
With negotiations delayed between Iran and Gulf countries, the crucial strait remains closed. 35 opinions, 69% No
- Yes — 31%
- No — 69%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 35 opinions
Resolution rules
With negotiations delayed between Iran and Gulf countries, the crucial strait remains closed. Considers announcements between 09/14 and 10/31/2026.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 14/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se autoridades iranianas anunciarem publicamente a reabertura do Estreito de Ormuz para navios comerciais internacionais. A liberação deve ser confirmada pela agência estatal IRNA, Reuters, AP ou AFP até a data-limite de 31/10/2026. Acordos inferiores a 7 dias não contabilizam. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.