World · Open for opinions
Will US GDP growth exceed 2.5% (annualized rate) in the fourth quarter of 2026?
US GDP has been growing just over 2% per year under the Trump administration, with consumer sentiment at historic lows, signaling a… 82 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions
Resolution rules
US GDP has been growing just over 2% per year under the Trump administration, with consumer sentiment at historic lows, signaling a possible further slowdown in economic activity.
Source: www.wsls.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) divulgar estimativa de crescimento do PIB real anualizado dos EUA superior a 2,5% para o Q4 2026 na primeira estimativa (advance estimate) publicada em janeiro ou fevereiro de 2027. A fonte oficial é o site do BEA (bea.gov). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.