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Will the US government issue new formal visa restrictions for South Africans by October 31, 2026?

Considers executive acts restricting visas issued between 09/18 and 10/31. 38 opinions, 55% Yes

  • Yes — 55%
  • No — 45%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 38 opinions

Resolution rules

Considers executive acts restricting visas issued between 09/18 and 10/31.

Source: www.theguardian.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 18/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos ou eventos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Departamento de Estado dos EUA publicar portaria oficial aplicando restrições de visto contra sul-africanos até 31/10/2026, conforme publicado no Federal Register ou portal state.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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