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Will the US and Iran reach a formal diplomatic agreement to reduce tensions by May 2027?

The conflict involving Iran was identified as the main risk factor for inflation and interest rates in the US in 2027, making its… 89 opinions, 88% No

  • Yes — 12%
  • No — 88%

Deadline: May 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

The conflict involving Iran was identified as the main risk factor for inflation and interest rates in the US in 2027, making its diplomatic resolution a high-impact event for the global economy.

Source: www.cushmanwakefield.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se os governos dos EUA e Irã assinarem e anunciarem publicamente um acordo diplomático formal (não apenas trégua tática) até 1º de maio de 2027, confirmado por comunicado oficial de ambos os países ou da ONU. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 88% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 12 points, a wrong one costs about 88.

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