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Will Kevin Warsh keep US interest rates unchanged until the end of 2026, resisting pressure from Trump?

Trump publicly threatened the Fed in September 2026, demanding interest rate cuts. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Trump publicly threatened the Fed in September 2026, demanding interest rate cuts. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, known as an inflation 'hawk', signaled resistance to external pressures, according to Washington Post editorials cited by AP.

Source: www.usnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a taxa dos Fed Funds encerrar 2026 no mesmo nível de setembro de 2026 (sem cortes), conforme comunicados oficiais do FOMC disponíveis em federalreserve.gov. Resolve como 'Não' se houver ao menos um corte de juros aprovado pelo Fed até 31/12/2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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