World · Open for opinions
Will the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once before the end of 2026?
Economists polled by Reuters expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged throughout 2026, citing geopolitical uncertainties — including… 22 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 22 opinions
Resolution rules
Economists polled by Reuters expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged throughout 2026, citing geopolitical uncertainties — including the US-Iran conflict — as factors limiting room for cuts.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar corte na taxa dos fed funds em qualquer reunião do FOMC até a reunião de dezembro de 2026. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.