World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut the benchmark interest rate (Fed Funds) at least once by December 2026?
The Federal Reserve has kept the interest rate steady for the seventh consecutive month, while inflation remains above the 2% target… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Federal Reserve has kept the interest rate steady for the seventh consecutive month, while inflation remains above the 2% target and concerns about the fiscal deficit grow, signaling caution in monetary policy.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o FOMC anunciar redução na meta da taxa dos Fed Funds em qualquer reunião oficial até 18 de dezembro de 2026, conforme comunicado publicado em federalreserve.gov. Resolve 'Não' se todas as reuniões restantes de 2026 mantiverem a taxa inalterada.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.